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صراع 2026

صراع 2026


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About the Book

من المحتمل أن تطلق الصين عملية موحدة بين أبريل/نيسان وسبتمبر/أيلول 2026. ولن تتمكن القوى العالمية من إيقاف أو تأخير أو عكس هذا الإجراء.

لقد دعت الصين في السابق إلى إعادة التوحيد السلمي في إطار صيغة "دولة واحدة ونظامان". وفي نهاية المطاف، سيتم تحقيق توحيد الصين بالخيار العسكري. إن أساس هذا التغيير هو نتيجة اللعبة السياسية بين جانبي مضيق تايوان.

بدءاً من مقالات يي جيان يينغ التسعة التي كتبها يي جيان يينغ، تطور برنامج الحكومة المركزية الصينية القائم على صيغة "دولة واحدة ونظامان" في الواقع من خلال خمس نسخ. ومع كل تطور، تم تقليص التنازلات السياسية لتايوان إلى حد ما. وبحلول الوقت الذي سيتم فيه تقديم النسخة التي يقودها شي جين بينغ في 10 أغسطس 2022، لن يكون لتايوان في الواقع أي تفضيلات سياسية كبيرة لنسخة "دولة واحدة ونظامان". بالطبع يبقى بالطبع الجزء المتعلق بالتنازلات المتعلقة بمعيشة الشعب. وحتى هذا الجزء، لن تتمكن تايوان من الاستحواذ عليه. في نهاية المطاف عندما تبدأ إعادة التوحيد المسلح، تدفع تايوان باتجاه الحصول على كل الامتيازات السياسية والحيز السياسي تقريباً.

عندما يبدأ العمل المسلح، فمن الطبيعي أن يكون له سلسلة من الخصائص. يحاول هذا الكتاب التكهن بخصائص هذه العمليات العسكرية من وجهة نظر المؤلف. كما يحاول أيضًا التكهن بنظام حكم تايوان من قبل الحكومة المركزية الصينية بعد اكتمال التوحيد من خصائص الفترة السابقة.

China is likely to launch a unified operation between April and September 2026. Global powers will not be able to stop, delay or reverse this action.
China has previously called for peaceful reunification under the "one country, two systems" formula. Ultimately, China's reunification will be achieved through the military option. The basis for this change is the result of the political game between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait.
Starting with Yi Jianying's nine essays, the Chinese central government's programme based on the "one country, two systems" formula has actually evolved through five versions. With each evolution, the political concessions to Taiwan have been scaled back somewhat. By the time the version led by Xi Jinping will be presented on 10 August 2022, Taiwan will in fact have no significant political preferences for the "one country, two systems" version. There remains, of course, the part about concessions related to people's livelihoods. And even that part, Taiwan will not be able to capture. Eventually, when armed reunification begins, Taiwan will push for almost all political privileges and political space.
When militarised action begins, it naturally has a series of characteristics. This book attempts to speculate on the characteristics of these militarised operations from the author's point of view. It also tries to speculate on the system of Taiwan's governance by the Chinese central government after the completion of unification from the characteristics of the previous period.


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9781738211098
  • Publisher: Draft2digital
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Language: English
  • Returnable: N
  • Sub Title: عمل الصين الموحد (التطور 
  • Width: 216 mm
  • ISBN-10: 1738211096
  • Publisher Date: 15 Apr 2024
  • Height: 279 mm
  • No of Pages: 226
  • Spine Width: 12 mm
  • Weight: 585 gr


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