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Erfahrungsregeln Und Konjunkturdynamik

Erfahrungsregeln Und Konjunkturdynamik


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About the Book

Die herkommliche Abbildung von Erwartungen in Makromodellen ist entweder zu primitiv (autoregressive Ansatze) oder aus Sicht der Wirtschaftssubjekte zu anspruchsvoll (rationale Ansatze). Diesen Extremen wird in der Arbeit das Konzept -Erfahrungsregel-basierter Erwartungen- gegenubergestellt, das den Wirtschaftssubjekten ein theoriegeleitetes und erfahrungsabhangiges Prognoseverhalten ermoglicht (Bsp.: -Bei hoher Arbeitslosigkeit und normaler Geldmengenexpansion wird mit geringem Preisauftrieb gerechnet.-). Die technische Handhabung dieses Ansatzes ermoglicht ein hybrides Neuro-Fuzzy-System, dessen Aufbau und Funktionsweise ausfuhrlich beschrieben wird. Dieses wurde zusammen mit einem Konjunkturmodell in der Simulationssoftware MAKROMAT-nfx umgesetzt. Das Programm wird in diesem Buch anhand zahlreicher Beispielstudien dokumentiert und kann kostenlos aus dem WWW bezogen werden."
About the Author: Der Autor: Stefan Kooths, geboren 1969 in Mettmann. Von 1988 bis 1993 Studium der Volkswirtschaftslehre an der Universitat Munster als Stipendiat der Studienstiftung des deutschen Volkes. 1992 Deutsch-Osterreichischer Hochschul-Software-Preis fur die makrookonomische Simulationssoftware MAKROMAT, 1993 Abschluss zum Diplom-Volkswirt. Seit 1993 Wissenschaftlicher Mitarbeiter am Institut fur industriewirtschaftliche Forschung der Universitat Munster, daruber hinaus beschaftigt mit CAL-Softwareentwicklung, Lehrveranstaltungen sowie der Leitung eines computergestutzten Tutorenprogramms auf der Basis von MAKROMAT. Von 1995 bis 1997 Doktorandenforderung der Studienstiftung des deutschen Volkes, 1998 Promotion."


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9783631337875
  • Publisher: Peter Lang Gmbh, Internationaler Verlag Der Wissenschaften
  • Publisher Imprint: Peter Lang Gmbh, Internationaler Verlag Der Wissenschaften
  • Edition: New edition
  • Language: German
  • Returnable: N
  • Sub Title: Makromodelle Mit Neuro-Fuzzy-Generierten Erwartungen
  • Width: 148 mm
  • ISBN-10: 3631337876
  • Publisher Date: 01 Aug 1998
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Height: 210 mm
  • No of Pages: 329
  • Series Title: Europaeische Hochschulschriften / European University Studie
  • Weight: 510 gr


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Erfahrungsregeln Und Konjunkturdynamik
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Erfahrungsregeln Und Konjunkturdynamik
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