Experten-Entscheidung Unter Unsicherheit by Norbert Nothbaum
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Experten-Entscheidung Unter Unsicherheit

Experten-Entscheidung Unter Unsicherheit


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About the Book

Thema dieses Bandes ist die Frage, wie bei Unsicherheit Expertenurteile erfasst, quantifiziert und fur bestimmte Fragestellungen genutzt werden konnen. Zu vielen Problemen liefern die Fachwissenschaften heute keine exakten Losungen. Das verfugbare Wissen ist unvollstandig, unsicher und unprazise. In solchen Fallen ist es haufig angebracht, auf Expertenurteile zuruckzugreifen. Geschildert werden kognitionspsychologische Modelle und Erkenntnisse, die den Prozess der Wissensgenerierung unter Unsicherheit beschreiben, sowie Prozeduren zur Erhebung von Verteilungswissen in dem Anwendungsbereich der Umwelttoxikologie. In einer experimentellen Erhebung bei Experten zum Thema -Blutbleigehalte bei Kindern- wird eine Erhebungsprozedur zur Unterstutzung der relevanten kognitiven Prozesse erprobt und wichtige Einflussfaktoren auf den Erhebungserfolg und die Gute der resultierenden Schatzungen uberpruft."
About the Author: Der Autor: Norbert Nothbaum, geboren 1962 in Bonn, studierte ab 1982 Psychologie an der Universitat Bielefeld, Abschluss 1989. Seit 1989 Mitarbeiter der Gesellschaft fur Organisation und Entscheidung, Bielefeld. Er ist dort u.a. verantwortlich fur die Durchfuhrung von Forschungs-, Entwicklungs- und Beratungsprojekten im Umweltbereich. Wahrend dieser Zeit Mitarbeit an Forschungsprojekten des Instituts fur Didaktik der Mathematik (Universitat Bielefeld). Durchfuhrung von Lehrauftragen zu statistischen Methoden, Psychometrie und Risikoanalysen."


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9783631314517
  • Publisher: Peter Lang Gmbh, Internationaler Verlag Der Wissenschaften
  • Publisher Imprint: Peter Lang Gmbh, Internationaler Verlag Der Wissenschaften
  • Edition: New edition
  • Language: German
  • Returnable: N
  • Sub Title: Kognitive Didaktik Und Situative Rahmung Bei Der Erhebung Von Verteilungswissen
  • Width: 148 mm
  • ISBN-10: 3631314515
  • Publisher Date: 01 Nov 1997
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Height: 210 mm
  • No of Pages: 334
  • Series Title: Psychology of Decisions and Conflict
  • Weight: 480 gr


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Experten-Entscheidung Unter Unsicherheit
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