Investition, Angebot Und Nachfrage Im Globalen Kali-Markt Bis 2020
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Investition, Angebot Und Nachfrage Im Globalen Kali-Markt Bis 2020

Investition, Angebot Und Nachfrage Im Globalen Kali-Markt Bis 2020


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About the Book

In den letzten Jahren war der globale Kali-Markt durch eine typische Oligopolstruktur mit wenigen Anbietern und tendenziell hohen Margen gepragt. Jedoch haben sich durch das seit 2008 stark gestiegene Preisniveau radikale Veranderungen angebahnt und fur die Industrie werden nun auf Grund zahlreicher geplanter Markteintritte und Expansionen bestehender Anbieter enorme Uberkapazitaten erwartet. Damit steht das bislang enge Oligopol vor einem Ubergang zu einem weiten Oligopol mit hartem Wettbewerb und geringeren Margen. Die vorliegende Dissertation untersucht die Frage, in welchem Masse die etablierten Anbieter in Kapazitatsexpansionen investieren sollten, und wie sich - abhangig von diesen Investitionsentscheidungen - der weltweite Kali-Markt bis 2020 hinsichtlich der regionalen Marktpreise und globalen Transportstrome entwickeln wird. Hierzu wird ein Multiregionenmodell des globalen Kali-Markts entwickelt, das die wesentlichen Marktcharakteristika (Angebot, Nachfrage, Preise, Transport) auf Basis detaillierter Kosten- und Kapazitatsdaten der insgesamt 80 weltweit existierenden Minen und geplanten Expansionen untersucht. Die Investitionsentscheidungen der grossen Anbieter werden hierbei als strategisches Spiel modelliert. Auf Basis der Kriterien Dominanz, Beste Antworten und Nash-Gleichgewicht werden unterschiedliche Verhaltensweisen der Wettbewerber und deren Interdependenzen erortert. Als besondere Herausforderung im Multiregionenmodell stellt sich die Berucksichtigung der Preiselastizitat der Nachfrage heraus. So ergibt sich fur jede Kombination von Investitionsstrategien ein quadratisches, lexikografisches Optimierungsmodell fur die Bestimmung von Angebot, Preisen und Transportstromen bis 2020.


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9783957100146
  • Publisher: Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft
  • Publisher Imprint: Rainer Hampp
  • Height: 210 mm
  • No of Pages: 210
  • Spine Width: 0 mm
  • Weight: 750 gr
  • ISBN-10: 3957100143
  • Publisher Date: 01 Sep 2014
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Language: German
  • Returnable: N
  • Sub Title: Modellierung Einer Grundstoffindustrie Im Wandel
  • Width: 150 mm


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Investition, Angebot Und Nachfrage Im Globalen Kali-Markt Bis 2020
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