subjektive Erwartungsnutzentheorie und ihre Erweiterungen
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subjektive Erwartungsnutzentheorie und ihre Erweiterungen

subjektive Erwartungsnutzentheorie und ihre Erweiterungen


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About the Book

Inhaltsangabe: Einleitung: Die Kapitalmarktforschung wird seit den 60er Jahren durch das „capital asset pricing model" (CAPM) geprägt. Dieses Modell setzt sich mit Anlageentscheidungen und den am Kapitalmarkt herrschenden Bedingungen theoretisch auseinander. Die Kernaussagen und Implikationen des CAPM wurden in den vergangenen drei Jahrzehnten in den unterschiedlichsten Tests auf ihre Gültigkeit überprüft. Im Ergebnis kann festgehalten werden, dass obwohl das Modell in all seinen Varianten wichtige Erklärungen über Eigenschaften und Determinanten effizienter Kapitalmärkte vermittelt, sich systematische Abweichungen zwischen dem prognostizierten und empirisch beobachteten Verhalten einzelner Marktteilnehmer (MT) sowie des Aggregats konstatieren lassen. Da das CAPM eine typische Anwendung der „subjective expected utility theory" (SEU) ist, die nach der herrschenden Meinung rationales Entscheidungsverhalten unter unsicheren Erwartungen definiert, wird als wesentliche Ursache für diese Abweichungen der Umstand angesehen, dass das CAPM trotz seines deskriptiven Charakters nicht den realen, sondern ausschließlich den rationalen Entscheider als repräsentatives Individuum betrachtet. Die vorliegende Arbeit kritisiert dieses als neoklassisch bezeichnete Paradigma ökonomischen Verhaltens und erweitert ihr Forschungskonzept um solche entscheidungstheoretischen Modelle, die verhaltenswissenschaftliche Aspekte mit einbeziehen. In diesen unter dem Begriff der „behavioral decision theory" zusammengefassten Ansätze werden die Postulate der SEU soweit verallgemeinert, dass auch die hiervon abweichende Verhaltensweisen erfasst werden können. Da eine Beschäftigung mit der gesamten Bandbreite verhaltenswissenschaftlicher Modelle im Rahmen einer Diplomarbeit nicht zu leisten ist, beschränken sich die Ausführungen mit Verlustaversion und Kapazitäten auf zwei der wichtigsten Elemente der von TVERSKY & KAHNEMAN konzipierten „cumulative prospect theory" (CPT) - eine der am meisten untersuc


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9783838665733
  • Publisher: Diplom.de
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Language: German
  • Returnable: N
  • Spine Width: 4 mm
  • Weight: 154 gr
  • ISBN-10: 3838665732
  • Publisher Date: 24 Mar 2003
  • Height: 210 mm
  • No of Pages: 72
  • Series Title: German
  • Sub Title: Der Erklärungsbeitrag von Kapazitäten und Verlustaversion zu beobachteten Phänomenen auf Kapitalmärkten
  • Width: 148 mm


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subjektive Erwartungsnutzentheorie und ihre Erweiterungen
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