Unternehmerische Frühwarnsysteme by Frank Hoffmann
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Unternehmerische Frühwarnsysteme

Unternehmerische Frühwarnsysteme


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About the Book

Inhaltsangabe: Einleitung: Was waren das noch für Zeiten? Wenn man sich an das von vielen Nationen hoch gepriesene "Wirtschaftswunder" Deutschland in der Nachkriegszeit zurückerinnert. Die 50'er und 60'er Jahre waren in Deutschland, wie auch in anderen westlichen Industrieländern, von hohen Wachstumsraten der Wirtschaft, gekoppelt mit stabilen politischen Verhältnissen und nahezuer Vollbeschäftigung geprägt. Dadurch, daß es kaum Veränderungen gab, und wenn, diese aber kalkulierbar blieben, bediente sich die Mehrheit der Unternehmen der einfachen Trendextrapolation, um ihre Entwicklung vorherzusagen. Diese, für Unternehmer, beinahe problemlosen Zeiten fanden jedoch Anfang der 70'er Jahre ein (jähes) Ende. Bis dahin war der Begriff Frühwarnung in Wirtschaftskreisen kein allzu großes Thema. In anderen Bereichen wie dem Militär (z.B. AWACS), der Technik, der Medizin, der Biologie oder bei Wettervorhersagen ist die Frühwamung / Früherkennung dagegen schon seit längerem Gegenstand des Interesses. Wie vielfältig das Spektrum an Methoden sein kann, zeigt sich am Beispiel Wettervorhersage sehr gut: Die Bandbreite reicht von "... komplexen meteorologischen Analyseverfahren und satellitengestützten Informationssystemen bis hin zu einfachen Bauernregeln oder Fröschen." Jüngstes und sehr anschauliches Beispiel in diesem Resort ist das Phänomen "El Nino", durch das sich die Wetterforscher Aufschlüsse über mögliche Gefährdungen, verursacht durch die ungewöhnlich warme Meeresströmung vor der Westküste des amerikanischen Kontinents, erhoffen. Man will hier frühzeitig erkennen, wie sich der Faktor "EI Nino" auf das Klimasystem des Globus Erde auswirken wird, um rechtzeitig Maßnahmen, wie z. B. das Errichten von Dämmen zum Schutz vor Überschwemmungen, einleiten zu können. Ähnlich verhält es sich mit der betrieblichen Frühwarnung / Früherkennung, die nun zu Beginn der 70'er Jahre in das Rampenlicht der Unternehmenswelt rückte. Auch dort gibt es unzählige Ausgestaltungsformen und Meth


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9783838617497
  • Publisher: Diplom.de
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Language: German
  • Returnable: N
  • Spine Width: 8 mm
  • Width: 148 mm
  • ISBN-10: 3838617495
  • Publisher Date: 02 Sep 1999
  • Height: 210 mm
  • No of Pages: 136
  • Series Title: German
  • Weight: 236 gr


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