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Zur Spieltheorie

Zur Spieltheorie


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About the Book

Studienarbeit aus dem Jahr 2010 im Fachbereich Sozialwissenschaften allgemein, Note: 2,0, Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg (Sozialwissenschaften), Veranstaltung: Sozialwissenschaftliche Theorie II, Sprache: Deutsch, Abstract: "Kräht der Hahn auf den Mist ändert sich das Wetter oder es bleibt wie es ist." Diese triviale Bauernweisheit bringt, wenn auch sicher nicht beabsichtigt, die wesentliche Kritik aus der Perspektive der Spieltheorie in Bezug auf die unsachgemäße Verwendung der Entscheidungstheorie auf den Punkt. Mit seinem 1989 in der American Political Science Review erschienenen Artikel: "the abuse of probability in political analysis: the robinson crusoe fallacy", kritisiert Tsebelis ebendiese unsachgemäße Anwendung der Entscheidungstheorie für Situationen, in denen sich mindestens zwei Akteure gegenüberstehen. Die Entscheidungstheorie befasst sich wie die Spieltheorie mit der Analyse von Entscheidungen. In der Entscheidungstheorie wird davon ausgegangen, dass ein Akteur gegen die Natur und damit gegen eine festgelegte bzw. unantastbare Wahrscheinlichkeit antritt. Ob der Hahn sich dafür entscheidet auf den Mist zu krähen oder nicht, ändert nichts an der Wahrscheinlichkeit einer Wetteränderung. Nach Tsebelis ist die Wahrscheinlichkeit für Ereignisse in Situationen, in denen sich mindestens zwei Akteure gegenüberstehen allerdings eine völlig andere. Die Wahrscheinlichkeit ist dann nicht mehr exogen gegeben, sondern steht immer in Abhängigkeit zum jeweiligen Gegenüber. Tsebelis argumentiert anhand des Beispiels der Geschwindigkeitsüberschreitung, warum die Spieltheorie im Gegensatz zur Entscheidungstheorie, das geeignete Instrument zur Analyse einer solchen Situationen darstellt. In dieser Arbeit soll es darum gehen, Tsebelis Argument, dass die Entscheidungstheorie im Gegensatz zur Spieltheorie die falsche Analysemethode für Situationen darstellt, in die mindestens zwei Akteure involviert sind, zu prüfen. Es geht im Kern um die Frage, ob das Wissen um ei


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9783640734184
  • Publisher: Grin Verlag
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Language: German
  • Returnable: N
  • Spine Width: 2 mm
  • Weight: 100 gr
  • ISBN-10: 3640734181
  • Publisher Date: 29 Oct 2010
  • Height: 210 mm
  • No of Pages: 28
  • Series Title: German
  • Sub Title: Spiel- vs. Entscheidungstheorie mit z-tree Experiment
  • Width: 148 mm


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